Middle East: Dual Strategy of Chaos from Iran to the Gulf

The Middle East is at a critical crossroads as Iran faces internal challenges and external pressures. The succession of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei by his son, Mojtaba Khamenei, marks a historic turning point for the Islamic Republic, with power being transferred from father to son for the first time.

Amid geopolitical tensions, Iran is trying to demonstrate stability despite US and Israeli airstrikes. Mojtaba Khamenei remains out of the public eye, while Tehran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon faces increasing instability.

The goals of the US and Israel are not fully aligned. Benjamin Netanyahu seeks to weaken Iran and eliminate its influence in the region, while Washington appears more ambiguous, seeking a new leadership that will comply with US demands. The conflict has expanded, with attacks on energy and political infrastructure, causing concern for the global economy.

The price of oil has exceeded $100 a barrel, while Russia and China are monitoring developments. The Middle East faces a war without a clear end, with potential implications for Arab monarchies and Israel's regional hegemony.